Miles to go

 Prime minister Shehbaz  sharif,s budget for the present fiscal year has whipped up seething anger against his administration at home but won him a $7bn packages from  the IMF to temporaily  shore up an embattled economy .



An IMF statement  says that it has reached  a staff level agreement with pakistan on a 37 ' month Extended fund facility islamabad will be able to access these funds once the deal is approved by the IMF Executive  .Board which is contingent upon the timely confirmation of necessary financing assurances from pakistan,s bilateral development partners '' ( read : china). The programme aims to capitalise  on the hard won macroeconomic  stability achieved over the past year by furthering efforts to strengthen public finance reduce inflation  

rebuild external buffers  and remove economic distortions  to spur private sector led growth, 


while it was relatively easy for the government to cross the first birdge towards the  agreement  by imposing exceeding painful direct and indirect taxes on the urban and middle classes .the new programme targets will continue to test its commitment to reforms over the life of the deal .

for starters the IMF wants the authorities to go after the under taxed sectors and properly   tax  exporters retailers and agriculturists to continue fiscal consolidation and increase tax revenues through measures contributing to 3 .5 pc of GDP. The current  budgets already aims to raise tax revenues by 1.5 pc of GDP to meet the programme goal of 1pc primary surpuls  this year

another contentious  condition relates to the abolition of agricultural supports prices  especially for the  staple wheat crop and associated  subsidies  it is pertinent to recall how farmers came out to protest after wheat prices plummeted sharply when  the  statement  indicates  that the government has aslo agreed to phase out incentives  to special Ecnomic Zones and  refrain from  new regulatory  and tax - based incentives or any tax based incentives  or any guaranteed returns  that could  distort the guaranteed  returns that could distort the investment  landscape including  for projects channelled through the  army led SIFC to create a level  playing  filed for all businesses how it will affect Sifcc afforts to lure  investment from  friendly countries is  anybody s guess other programme goals periodic power and gas price adiustment. SOE governance reforms  and privatisation, transfer of more fiscal market - based  monetary and  exchange rate policies --- actually represent the  unfinished agenda.of the previous programme  the agreement has indeed provided  much  needed  breathing space to the government, but it has  also created serious political  challenges for it.   

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